CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 600.1 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 885.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 15.5 billion yuan.The winning bid rate of China's 2-year treasury bonds was 1.06%, which was 31 basis points lower than last month. The Ministry of Finance of China issued treasury bonds today, and the weighted average winning bid rate of 2-year varieties was 1.06%. The data shows that the bid-winning interest rate is about 31 basis points lower than that when the national debt of the same term was issued in November, the lowest since Bloomberg recorded it in 2004.
Amazon said it would broadcast Trump's inauguration live on Prime Video. A spokesman for the US e-commerce giant Amazon said on Thursday that the company would donate $1 million to the inauguration fund of US President-elect Donald Trump and will broadcast Trump's inauguration live on its Prime Video service. The spokesman said that the live broadcast of Prime Video represented another donation worth $1 million in kind.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.South Korea's stock market is bound to erase all the declines since the martial law storm, and South Korea's benchmark stock index will continue to rebound on Friday, which is bound to recover all the lost ground since the martial law storm. South Korea's Kospi index once rose by 0.7%, heading for four consecutive gains, erasing all the declines since December 3 in intraday trading. Late that night, South Korean President Yin Xiyue announced martial law and then hastily lifted it, shocking the world. Investors believe that South Korea's stock market has fallen too far recently, and expect that if Congress passes the second impeachment motion against Yin Xiyue over the weekend, the risk of political turmoil will be alleviated. Although Yin Xiyue refused to step down and vowed to fight to the end, there are more and more signs that some ruling party members may support the impeachment motion.
Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.Shaanxi experts took the lead in formulating the first Expert Consensus on Clinical Operation of Micro-apical Surgery in China. Recently, according to the news from the Stomatological Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University, Yu Qing, a professor of dental endodontics in this hospital, led by top experts from more than 10 well-known domestic hospitals, including Peking University Stomatological Hospital, West China Stomatological Hospital of Sichuan University and Ninth People's Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, successfully formulated the first Expert Consensus on Clinical Operation of Micro-apical Surgery in China in three years.Market News: The motion of impeaching South Korean President Yin Xiyue was reported to the South Korean National Assembly.